1f85cb28-2d17-4f81-b79c-2e55eb3d46a9 Gerken, Alison R. alison.gerken@usda.gov 2025-06-09T14:44:36.405Z ISO 19115:2003/19139 1.0 WGS 1984 Data and Code: Increasing global risk of khapra beetle invasion forecasted under diverse environmental conditions 2025-06-09 10.15482/USDA.ADC/28628261 The khapra beetle, Trogoderma granarium, is a stored product pest of global concern. The pest is readily transported with cargo and has been reported in over 60 countries, several of which have spent millions in USD to eradicate populations. Despite the profound risk to stored grain commodities, nothing is known about the influence of climate change on the potential future distribution of species. We utilize MaxEnt and two datasets representing 1) only the historical range and 2) all global locations where it currently is or was established even if it was later eradicated to model areas of suitability under current climatic conditions and project to the future with the accumulated data under low (SSP126) and high (SSP585) climate change scenarios at close (2040) and distant (2080) time points. The potential distribution using historical data was much reduced compared to the combined model; consequently, all established localities, even if eradicated, change model outcomes and thus are important when building models. An increase of high potential suitability (>75% suitable) is projected with greater time and climatic scenarios, primarily in North America and Europe, which have previously eradicated T. granarium. These areas need greater surveillance for early detection and eradication to prevent expansion of T. granarium inland toward areas of high grain production.The dataset provided includes all occurrence data points used in the manuscript "Increasing global risk of khapra beetle invasion forecasted under diverse environmental conditions" including longitude and latitude and the reference or repository where the data point was obtained. The code provided is the backbone of the MaxEnt modeling procedure used to make distribution predictions for current and future climate change predictions. The workflow is intended for users to follow the model parameters and settings associated with using the occurrence data for Trogoderma granarium around the globe. Data are supplied as a supplemental table to the publication. Gerken, Alison R. alison.gerken@usda.gov Yunus Emre Altunç Christos G. Athanassiou Rachel R. Harman William Morrison http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1663-8741 WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link ORCID ORCID Alison Gerken habitats storage insects prediction climatic factors models climate change Trogoderma granarium risk National Agricultural Library Thesaurus (NALT) USDA NAL Keywords 2015 2021 Edition USDA National Agricultural Library * National Agricultural Library Thesaurus (NALT) Coordinator 10301 Baltimore Ave Beltsville, MD 20705 United States of America agref@usda.gov https://agclass.nal.usda.gov/ HTTP Web Browser USDA National Agricultural Library Thesaurus and Glossary Home Page The Thesaurus and Glossary are online vocabulary tools of agricultural terms in English and Spanish and are cooperatively produced by the National Agricultural Library, USDA, and the Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture as well as other Latin American agricultural institutions belonging to the Agriculture Information and Documentation Service of the Americas (SIDALC). A controlled vocabulary of keywords to classify dataset records in Ag Data Commons Department of Agriculture=5 > Agricultural Research Service=005:018 OMB Bureau Codes Office of Management and Budget Bureau Codes 2016 revision 2016 OMB Bureau Codes https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/omb/assets/a11_current_year/app_c.pdf HTTP Web Browser APPENDIX C—LISTING OF OMB AGENCY/BUREAU AND TREASURY CODES In the MAX system, OMB assigns and uses agency and bureau codes, which are associated with agency and bureau titles that are published in the Budget.PDF file. information Resource Provider Complete list of bureau codes Department of Agriculture=5 > National Research=005:040 Federal Program Inventory US Federal Program Codes 2013-09-16 revision Fiscal Year 2013 Office of Management and Budget https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb HTTP Web Browser Office of Management and Budget The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) serves the President of the United States in overseeing the implementation of his vision across the Executive Branch. 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Please choose from U.S. Public Domain, Creative Commons CCZero, Creative Commons Attribution, or Creative Commons Attribution Share-Alike. habitat suitability temperature MaxEnt suitability model khapra beetle stored product insects biota environment 2024-12-03 2025-03-20 -120.1881 151.2667 -36.9542 66.8206 XLSX 1 DOCX 1 https://doi.org/10.15482/USDA.ADC/28628261 WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link Data files Data files for Data and Code: Increasing global risk of khapra beetle invasion forecasted under diverse environmental conditions